by Gerard GoiranNews Weekly
Christian Democrats' role in WA election (letter)
, November 8, 2008
I take issue with Joseph Poprzecny's analysis of Western Australia's recent state election ("WA Nationals opt for partnership, not coalition", News Weekly
, October 11).
His article states that the Labor and Greens combined vote exceeds the Liberal and National combined vote. However, he makes no mention of the other minority parties, such as Family First and the Christian Democratic Party, whose combined vote was 93 per cent of that of the National Party.
A more accurate analysis would consist in adding up the two-candidate preferred results in each House of Assembly (lower house) seat as this factors in all preferences.
This analysis shows the following:
Labor 484,810 votes + Labor independents 14,810 = total left-of-centre bloc 499,620.
Liberals 499,396 + Nationals 70,092 + Liberal independents 19,480 = total right-of -centre bloc 588,968.
Therefore, contrary to your writer's assertion, the right-of-centre bloc received far more votes than the left, which also justifies why the Liberals won government.
Furthermore, an analysis on a seat-by-seat basis reveals also an interesting fact.
While the Liberals' and Nationals' partnership has ensured just enough seats to form government with the help of the independents, the Christian Democratic Party has decisively delivered through its preferences five seats to the Liberals, thereby ensuring a change of government. These seats were the seats of Morley, Riverton, Southern River, Wanneroo and Jandakot.
This is an historical result that has not been taken up by the media and which may have interesting consequences on policy formulation over the next four years.
Had the preferences from the CDP not flowed to the Liberals, the Nationals would not have had the option to decide which of the two major parties to support. Consequently, the part played by the Nationals in the final outcome should not be over-estimated.Gerard Goiran,
WA State Director,
Christian Democratic Party,